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基于模糊综合评判的移动电源火灾风险分析
引用本文:黄国忠,丁洁,谢志利,谢婷,杨晓.基于模糊综合评判的移动电源火灾风险分析[J].北京科技大学学报,2016(10):1482-1488.
作者姓名:黄国忠  丁洁  谢志利  谢婷  杨晓
作者单位:1. 北京科技大学土木与环境工程学院,北京,100083;2. 国家质检总局缺陷产品管理中心,北京,100101
基金项目:国家质量监督检验检疫总局科技计划资助项目(2015QK242)
摘    要:针对移动电源火灾事故频发的安全现状,本文采用能量转换和模糊综合评判的方法构建移动电源火灾风险评价模型,并对移动电源火灾风险进行评价。为增加评判过程的客观性,分别采用事故树基本事件结构重要度和相对差异函数对评判模型中评价因子的权重和隶属度进行分析和计算。评判结果表明移动电源火灾事故风险等级处于一般安全与比较危险之间,与实际情况相符合。

关 键 词:移动电源  火灾风险分析  模糊逻辑  事故树

Fire risk analysis of the mobile power pack based on the fuzzy synthetic evaluation model
HUANG Guo-zhong,DING Jie,XIE Zhi-li,XIE Ting,YANG Xiao.Fire risk analysis of the mobile power pack based on the fuzzy synthetic evaluation model[J].Journal of University of Science and Technology Beijing,2016(10):1482-1488.
Authors:HUANG Guo-zhong  DING Jie  XIE Zhi-li  XIE Ting  YANG Xiao
Abstract:Due to the present situation of frequent fire accidents caused by the mobile power pack, fire risk based on the energy transfer theory and the fuzzy synthetic evaluation model was analyzed in the paper. Furthermore, fault tree analysis and the relative difference function are combined with the model to determine the weight values and memberships of evaluation factors. The evaluation results show that the risk level of fire accidents caused by the mobile power pack is between the safe and the more dangerous, which is agreed with the practical situation.
Keywords:mobile power packs  fire risk analysis  fuzzy logic  fault trees
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