The forecast of seasonal precipitation trend at the north Helan Mountain and Baiyinaobao regions,Inner Mongolia for the next 20 years |
| |
Authors: | Email author" target="_blank">Yu?LiuEmail author V?Shishov Jiangfeng?Shi E?Vaganov Junyan?Sun Qiufang?Cai I?Djanseitov Zhisheng?An |
| |
Institution: | (1) State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, The Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 710075 Xi’an, China;(2) Sukachev Institute of Forest, Russian Academy of Sciences, 660036 Krasnoyarsk, Russia |
| |
Abstract: | By using Caterpillar-SSA analysis method, through the process of embedding, singular value decomposition, grouping and diagonal
averaging, the seasonal precipitation trend at north Helan Mountain and Baiyinaobo regions, Inner Mongolia for the next 20
years is forecasted. The results show an increasing precipitation trend from 1992 to 2004. In the subsequent decade the precipitation
should reduce quickly, and it will reach a minimum near 2012 to 2014 in both regions. The drought caused by the decrease of
the precipitation from May to July in the north Helan Mountain area during the period of 2013–2014 is probably quite similar
to that around 1929. Further, the period of precipitation gradual increase follows in the researched regions. |
| |
Keywords: | north Helan Mountain Baiyinaobao precipitation trend forecast |
本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 SpringerLink 等数据库收录! |
| 点击此处可从《中国科学通报(英文版)》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《中国科学通报(英文版)》下载免费的PDF全文 |