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2016 年欧美经济运行现状和未来走势分析
引用本文:王金明,李杨.2016 年欧美经济运行现状和未来走势分析[J].科技促进发展,2016,12(5):598-602.
作者姓名:王金明  李杨
作者单位:吉林大学数量经济研究中心 长春 130012,吉林大学数量经济研究中心 长春 130012
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(编号:71573105):中国经济周期波动的转折点识别、阶段转换及预警研究,负责人:王金明;国家社科基金重大项目(编号:15ZDA011):新常态下我国宏观经济监测和预测研究,首席专家:陈磊。
摘    要:当前,全球经济增长低迷不振,美国经济虽然仍然呈现增长态势,但增速放缓,欧元区经济在英国脱欧的冲击下不确定性显著增加,经济增长低于预期。欧美经济波动对中国有较大影响,在当前我国经济结构转型的关键时期,要特别关注欧美经济和政治不确定性增加带给我国宏观经济的不利后果。本文从经济增长、物价波动、失业状况和制造业发展等层面对欧美经济的现状进行分析,对欧美经济未来走势进行判断。

关 键 词:欧美经济  经济增长  通货膨胀

Analysis of the Current Situations of Economies in Europe and U.S. and Outlook
WANG Jinming and LI Yang.Analysis of the Current Situations of Economies in Europe and U.S. and Outlook[J].Science & Technology for Development,2016,12(5):598-602.
Authors:WANG Jinming and LI Yang
Institution:Center for Quantitative Research of Jilin University, Changchun 130012 and Center for Quantitative Research of Jilin University, Changchun 130012
Abstract:Currently, global economic growth remains depressed. Although the United States economy shows an increasing trend, the growth rate has now shrunk. Because of the impact of Britain exiting from the EU , the uncertainty of economy in euro zone significantly increases and the euro zone economic growth rate is lower than expected. Now it is the critical period for structural transformation of Chinese economy, we should pay special attention to the economic and political uncertainty in Europe and the United States to avoid the adverse consequences to Chinese macro economy it may cause. This paper will analyze the current situations of Europe and the United States economy in such respects as economic growth, inflation, unemployment situation and the development of the manufacturing industry, then deduce the U.S. and European growth tendency.
Keywords:Economies in Europe and the United States  Economic Growth  Inflation
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