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基于时间序列的可燃物平均含水率日变化预测模型
引用本文:闵盈盈,吴娟.基于时间序列的可燃物平均含水率日变化预测模型[J].哈尔滨商业大学学报(自然科学版),2013(6):678-681.
作者姓名:闵盈盈  吴娟
作者单位:[1]哈尔滨商业大学计算机与信息工程学院,哈尔滨150028 [2]哈尔滨商业大学基础科学学院,哈尔滨150028
摘    要:根据黑龙江省海林石河子林场试验地的观测数据,建立了基于时间序列预测可燃物平均含水率每日变化的预测的模型,由此模型可以由前一日和前二日的可燃物平均含水率可以预测出后一日的可燃物平均含水率,经检验拟合效果较好.

关 键 词:时间序列  可燃物  平均含水率

Average moisture content of combustible diurnal variation prediction model based on time series
MIN Ying-ying,WU Juan.Average moisture content of combustible diurnal variation prediction model based on time series[J].Journal of Harbin University of Commerce :Natural Sciences Edition,2013(6):678-681.
Authors:MIN Ying-ying  WU Juan
Institution:1 School of Computer and Information Engineering, Harbin University of Commerce, 150028, China 2. School of Basic Science, Harbin University of Commerce, Harbin 150028, China)
Abstract:According to Heilongjiang Hailin Farm Shihezi testing ground observation data, time series prediction was established based on the average moisture content of combustible material changes daily prediction model, which models can be from the previous day and be- fore the 2nd combustible average moisture content can predict the day after the average mois- ture content of combustible material, the test fitting better.
Keywords:time series  combustibles  average moisture content
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