| 灰色残差修正模型在中长期负荷预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 韩红卫,李丽. 灰色残差修正模型在中长期负荷预测中的应用[J]. 科技资讯, 2010, 0(7): 124-125 |
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| 作者姓名： | 韩红卫 李丽 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 宁夏省电力公司调度中心,宁夏银川,750001
2. 国电石嘴山发电公司,宁夏石嘴山,753202 |
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| 摘 要： | 电力系统负荷预测是电力系统发电计划的重要组成部分,也是电力系统经济运行的基础。本文在应用GM（1,1）模型的基础上,建立了两种应用残差对预测数据进修正的模型。实例表明本文提出的方法较传统GM（1,1）模型有更高的精度。
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| 关 键 词： | 负荷预测 灰色模型 残差修正 |
The Gray Remaining Modified Model's Application to Mid-long Term Load Forecasting |
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| HAN Hongwei LI Li .Ningxia Electric Power Dispatch Centre,Yinchuanshi ,.GD Shizuishan Power CO.Shizuishanshi. The Gray Remaining Modified Model's Application to Mid-long Term Load Forecasting[J]. Science & Technology Information, 2010, 0(7): 124-125 |
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| Authors: | HAN Hongwei LI Li .Ningxia Electric Power Dispatch Centre Yinchuanshi .GD Shizuishan Power CO.Shizuishanshi |
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| Affiliation: | HAN Hongwei1 LI Li2 1.Ningxia Electric Power Dispatch Centre,Yinchuanshi 750001,2.GD Shizuishan Power CO.Shizuishanshi 753202 |
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| Abstract: | Power load forecasting plays an import role in power system generation planning,which is also the base of power system economical operation.Based on GM(1,1),this paper builds two models by using residual error modified for forecasting data.Examples show that the models have higher precision than GM(1,1). |
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| Keywords: | Load forecasting Gray model Residual error correction |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
