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陕西关中地区生态足迹动态分析及生态安全评价
引用本文:张舜尧,王铮,李丹,邓志辉.陕西关中地区生态足迹动态分析及生态安全评价[J].西安科技大学学报,2011,31(1).
作者姓名:张舜尧  王铮  李丹  邓志辉
作者单位:1. 西安科技大学,地质与环境工程学院,陕西,西安,710054
2. 潼关县职业教育中心,陕西,潼关,714300
3. 西安交通大学软件学院,陕西,西安,710049
摘    要:用生态足迹的理论与方法,对陕西省关中地区2001—2008年的生态足迹和生态承载力进行了计算,并运用灰色预测模型对关中地区2010—2015的生态足迹做出预测。结果表明:当地人均生态足迹呈现上升趋势,由0.650 7 ha2.人-1上升到0.926 9 ha2.人-1,人均生态赤字不断增加,由0.145 5 ha2.人-1上升到0.492 4 ha2.人-1,生态赤字持续扩大,预测2015年人均生态赤字将达到0.780 9 ha2.人-1。区域生态处于不安全状况,生态可持续发展受到严重影响。

关 键 词:生态足迹  生态承载力  生态安全  灰色预测  

Dynamic analysis of ecological footprint and ecological security evalvation in Guanzhong region of Shaanxi province
ZHANG Shun-yao,WANG Zheng,LI Dan,DENG Zhi-hui.Dynamic analysis of ecological footprint and ecological security evalvation in Guanzhong region of Shaanxi province[J].JOurnal of XI’an University of Science and Technology,2011,31(1).
Authors:ZHANG Shun-yao  WANG Zheng  LI Dan  DENG Zhi-hui
Institution:ZHANG Shun-yao 1,WANG Zheng 1,LI Dan2,DENG Zhi-hui3(1.College of Geology and Environment,Xi'an University of Science and Technology,Xi'an 710054,China,2.Tongguan County Vocational Education Center,Tongguan 714300,3.College of Software,Xi'an Jiaotong University,Xi'an 710049,China)
Abstract:This paper introduced the concept and calculation method of ecological footprint,and applied them to Guanzhong region for the time period from 2001 to 2008,and analyzed the ecological security and ecological footprint from 2009 to 2015 using the Gray Prediction Model.The results showed that:The per capita ecological footprint mounted continually,rising from 0.650 7 ha per capita to 0.926 9 ha per capita,ecological wane is growing continuously,increasing from 0.145 5 ha per capita to 0.492 4 ha2 per capita.T...
Keywords:ecological footprint  ecological capacity  ecological security  gray prediction  
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