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热带西太平洋暖池对中国降水和沿海自然灾害的影响
引用本文:李万彪,周春平. 热带西太平洋暖池对中国降水和沿海自然灾害的影响[J]. 北京大学学报(自然科学版), 1999, 35(5): 672-679
作者姓名:李万彪  周春平
作者单位:北京大学地球物理学系,国家暴雨监测和预报重点实验室,北京,100871; 北京大学遥感与地理信息系统研究所,北京,100871
基金项目:国家自然科学基金;49794030;
摘    要:用暖池指数研究了热带西太平洋暖池对中国降水和沿海自然灾害的影响。结果表明,暖池面积指数对中国降水有一定的预报意义,北界指数对中国长江中下游地区及其他一些地区的降水具有很好的预报性,面积指数与中国沿海台风次数的年际变化呈负相关关系,与1950年以后海冰灾害有明显的相关关系,与灾害性海浪的发生频数关系不大,与海啸的发生有一定的关系。

关 键 词:热带西太平洋暖池  降水  自然灾害  
收稿时间:1998-11-23

The Impacts of Tropical Western Pacific Warm Pool on Precipitation and Disasters in Coastal Region of China
LI Wanbiao,ZHOU Chunping. The Impacts of Tropical Western Pacific Warm Pool on Precipitation and Disasters in Coastal Region of China[J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis, 1999, 35(5): 672-679
Authors:LI Wanbiao  ZHOU Chunping
Affiliation:Department of Geophysics, Peking University, Laboratory for Severe Storm Research, Beijing, 100871; Institute of Remote Sensing and Geographical Information System, Peking University, Beijing, 100871
Abstract:The impacts of Tropical Western Pacific Warm Pool on precipitation of China and disasters in China's coastal region have been discussed by using Warm Pool Index . The results show that Warm Pool Area Index is meanful in a certain sense for f orecasting precipitation of China, Northern Boundary Index can well forecast pre cipitation of Yangtze River Valley and other regions of China. Area Index has an ti|correlation with the interannual change of occurred numbers of typhoon in co astal region of China, significantly relation with the sea ice disaster after 19 5 0,little relation with the occurrence frequency of sea wave disaster, and regula r relation with tsunami.
Keywords:tropical western pacific warm pool  precipitation  disaster
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