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基于多元线性回归模型的数字经济影响因素实证分析
引用本文:李江峰,朱晓燕,许健. 基于多元线性回归模型的数字经济影响因素实证分析[J]. 科技促进发展, 2022, 18(8): 985-992
作者姓名:李江峰  朱晓燕  许健
作者单位:新疆吐鲁番市科技局,中国科学院大学经济与管理学院 北京,中国科学院大学经济与管理学院 北京
摘    要:相关数字经济的研究大多聚焦于理论性、经验性、范例式,较少涉及数字经济影响因素的定量研究。本研究结合《国民经济行业分类》和《所有经济活动的国际标准行业分类》中关于数字经济部门类别的界定,提出数字经济的定义,分析数字经济发展路径与驱动机制,提炼出可能的影响因素,从OECD、世界银行、瑞士洛桑管理学院的数据库中筛选出96条数据,对比前进法、后退法、逐步回归法的回归结果得到基础模型,最终得到的回归方程包含7个均具有显著作用的变量,实证分析了数字经济的影响因素,以期为各地选择数字经济发展模式、路径提供借鉴。

关 键 词:数字经济  影响因素  多元线性回归  实证分析
收稿时间:2020-07-12
修稿时间:2022-10-15

An Empirical Analysis on the Influencing Factors of Digital Economy Based on Multiple Linear Regression Model
Li Jiang Feng,Zhu Xiao Yan and Xu Jian. An Empirical Analysis on the Influencing Factors of Digital Economy Based on Multiple Linear Regression Model[J]. Science & Technology for Development, 2022, 18(8): 985-992
Authors:Li Jiang Feng  Zhu Xiao Yan  Xu Jian
Affiliation:Turpan science and Technology Bureau,School of Economics and Management University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,School of Economics and Management University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
Abstract:most of the research on digital economy focus on theoretical, empirical and paradigmatic research, and seldom involve quantitative research on Influencing Factors of digital economy. In this paper, combined with the definition of digital economy sector category in national economic industry classification and international standard industry classification of all economic activities, this paper puts forward the definition of digital economy, analyzes the development path and driving mechanism of digital economy, extracts the possible influencing factors, and selects 96 data from the databases of OECD, world bank and Lausanne School of management in Switzerland The regression results of forward method, backward method and step-by-step regression method get the basic model, and the final regression equation contains seven variables which have significant effect. This paper empirically analyzes the influencing factors of digital economy, so as to provide reference for local governments to choose the development mode and path of digital economy.
Keywords:digital economy  influence factor  multiple linear regression  empirical analysis
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