| 客房出租中的马尔科夫过程和市场占有份额预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 田五龙,牟科. 客房出租中的马尔科夫过程和市场占有份额预测[J]. 北京联合大学学报(自然科学版), 1997, 0(2) |
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| 作者姓名： | 田五龙 牟科 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京联合大学旅游学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 饭店客房出租率及其市场占有份额的预测是饭店经营管理的重要课题之一。利用运筹学中的马尔科夫过程的理论，经过有稳定转移概率的改造，可以建立起客房出租与市场占有份额预测的马尔科夫链的数学模型。这种方法为饭店的经营与决策提供了必要的辅助定量分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 马尔科夫链；转移概率矩阵；期望 |
Markov Process in Hotel Room Renting and the Prediction of Market Percentage |
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| Tian Wulong Mu Ke. Markov Process in Hotel Room Renting and the Prediction of Market Percentage[J]. Journal of Beijing Union University, 1997, 0(2) |
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| Authors: | Tian Wulong Mu Ke |
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| Abstract: | One of the most important part of hotel management is the prediction of room renting percentage and of market percentage.By Markov chain's theory,it is possible to set up the mathematical patterns in the prediction of room renting and market percentage after the reform of steady transfer probability matrix.This method may supply the necessary aid in analysing the maximum profit in hotel management and decision. [ |
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| Keywords: | Markov chain transfer probability matrix expectation |
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