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阶段任务系统可靠性分析30a研究进展
引用本文:莫毓昌,赵建民,韩建民,钟发荣. 阶段任务系统可靠性分析30a研究进展[J]. 浙江师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2013, 36(3): 252-257
作者姓名:莫毓昌  赵建民  韩建民  钟发荣
作者单位:浙江师范大学数理与信息工程学院,浙江金华,321004
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目,浙江省软件与理论重中之重学科开放基金资助项目
摘    要:阶段任务系统(Phased Mission Systems,PMS)的应用几乎渗透到现代人类社会的各种关键应用领域,其可靠性分析是一个非常重要的研究课题.对PMS可靠性分析30 a的发展情况作了简要的概括和总结,介绍了30多年里PMS可靠性分析所涉及的核心研究点,包括树结构分析、BDD分析、HCTMC分析和MRP分析;深入分析了它的发展现状和目前所存在的问题;从推动PMS可靠性分析应用和发展的角度出发,展望了未来的研究方向.

关 键 词:阶段任务系统  可靠性分析  随机过程  故障树分析

Thirty years development of phased mission system reliability analysis
MO Yuchang , ZHAO Jianmin , HAN Jianmin , ZHONG Farong. Thirty years development of phased mission system reliability analysis[J]. Journal of Zhejiang Normal University Natural Sciences, 2013, 36(3): 252-257
Authors:MO Yuchang    ZHAO Jianmin    HAN Jianmin    ZHONG Farong
Affiliation:( College of Matherrmtics, Physics and Information Engineering, Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua Zhejiang 321004, China )
Abstract:A Phased Mission System ( PMS ) was defined as a system, which was subject to multiple, consecu- tive, non-overlapping phases of operation. The reliability analysis of PMS had been considered tasks of primary relevance, and many different approaches had been developed during the past thirty years. A summary of the PMS reliability analysis technologies considered in the literatures was presented, including traditional fault tree analysis, BDD based fault tree analysis, HCTMC based state space analysis and MRP based state space analy- sis. Finally, research directions and open questions in this area were also discussed.
Keywords:phased mission system  reliability analysis  stochastic process  fault tree analysis
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