| 月内短期气候预测中若干问题的讨论 |
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| 引用本文： | 左瑞亭,张铭.月内短期气候预测中若干问题的讨论[J].解放军理工大学学报,2000,1(3):76-81. |
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| 作者姓名： | 左瑞亭 张铭 |
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| 作者单位： | 解放军理工大学气象学院军事气象系!江苏南京211101 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家重点基础研究发展规划基金资助项目!( G19980 40 90 0 ) |
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| 摘 要： | 首先介绍了月平均环流在气候预测中的应用，在此基础上，重点讨论了影响月内短期气候预测的若干因素，对可预报性的时空依赖性，初始场的作用，集合预报以及后处理进行了分析，并对其未来的发展做了展望。
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| 关 键 词： | 短期气候预测 长期天气预报 可预报性 月预报 |
Discussions on Several Problems in Short-Term Climate
Prediction within A Month |
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| ZUO,Rui,ting and ZHANG,Ming.Discussions on Several Problems in Short-Term Climate
Prediction within A Month[J].Journal of PLA University of Science and Technology(Natural Science Edition),2000,1(3):76-81. |
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| Authors: | ZUO Rui ting and ZHANG Ming |
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| Institution: | Department of Military Meteorology IM, PLAUST, Nanjing 211101, China;Department of Military Meteorology IM, PLAUST, Nanjing 211101, China |
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| Abstract: | The applications of monthly averaged circulation in climate prediction are reviewed. Some important factors which could make great effects on the forecasting result are discussed,and the dependence of predictability on the time space scale,the function of initial data,the ensemble forecast and the post procedure etc.areanalyzed.Finally,apreviewon futuredevelopmentinshort termclimatepredictionispresented. |
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| Keywords: | short term climate prediction long range weather forecast predictability |
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