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河南省产业结构对经济增长贡献的实证研究
引用本文:刘芳,李炳军,高波.河南省产业结构对经济增长贡献的实证研究[J].河南科学,2010,28(8):1029-1033.
作者姓名:刘芳  李炳军  高波
作者单位:1. 河南农业大学,信息与管理科学学院,郑州,450002
2. 河南省交通厅,郑州,450052
摘    要:运用计量分析方法研究河南省产业结构和经济增长之间的因果关系,并测算各产业在不同阶段对经济增长的贡献.研究结果表明,河南省产业结构和经济增长之间存在单向的Granger因果关系;通过产业结构对经济增长贡献的定量测定,表明第三产业对河南的经济增长具有巨大的潜力.

关 键 词:产业结构  经济增长  格兰杰因果关系  贡献

An Empirical Research on the Contribution of Industrial Structure to Economic Growth in Henan Province
Liu Fang,Li Bingjun,Gao Bo.An Empirical Research on the Contribution of Industrial Structure to Economic Growth in Henan Province[J].Henan Science,2010,28(8):1029-1033.
Authors:Liu Fang  Li Bingjun  Gao Bo
Institution:1.Collage of Information and Management Science,Henan Agricultural University,Zhengzhou 450002,China;2.Henan Provincial Communications Department,Zhengzhou 450052,China)
Abstract:Using the econometric methods,this paper studies the causal relationship between the industrial structure and economic growth in Henan province,then calculates the contribution of each industry to economy growth on different stages.The result shows that there exists one-orientated causality between the industrial structure and economic growth.It also shows that the third industry has great potential in Henan’s economy increasing.
Keywords:industrial structure  economic growth  Granger causality  contribution
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