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基于改进贝叶斯模型的四川省主要河流水质评价
引用本文:廖杰,汪嘉杨,丁晶. 基于改进贝叶斯模型的四川省主要河流水质评价[J]. 四川师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2009, 32(4). DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-8395.2009.04.027
作者姓名:廖杰  汪嘉杨  丁晶
作者单位:1. 四川师范大学,化学与材料科学学院,四川,成都,610066
2. 四川大学,水电学院,四川,成都,610065
摘    要:提出了改进的地面水水质评价贝叶斯模型(Bayes),将抽样误差正态分布原理用于估计Bayes公式中的似然概率.改进的贝叶斯模型应用于四川省8条主要河流12个代表站点的多年水质监测数据的评价,并分别对1971-1988年和1990-2004年的四川省主要河流12个代表监测站点的水质评价结果进行分析.评价结果表明改进的贝叶斯模型较为全面、客观地反映了四川省主要河流的多年水质状况特征和污染状况,为河流水质评价提供了一条新途径.

关 键 词:贝叶斯模型  正态分布  河流水质  评价  四川省

Water Quality Assessment of Main Rivers in Sichuan Based on Improved Bayes Model
LIAO Jie,WANG Jia-yang,DING Jing. Water Quality Assessment of Main Rivers in Sichuan Based on Improved Bayes Model[J]. Journal of Sichuan Normal University(Natural Science), 2009, 32(4). DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-8395.2009.04.027
Authors:LIAO Jie  WANG Jia-yang  DING Jing
Affiliation:1.College of Chemistry and Materials Science;Sichuan Normal University;Chengdu 610066;Sichuan;2.College of Hydraulic;Sichuan University;Chengdu 610065;Sichuan
Abstract:The improved bayes model was proposed based on surface water quality assessment system.In the Bayes formula,the likelihood probability was calculated by sample error normal distribution principle.The Bayes model was applied to annual water quality assessment of 12 representative stations of 8 main rivers in Sichuan.After obtaining the results of river water quality in more than 30 years,the further analyses were performed for the durations of 1971-1988 and 1990-2004 respectively.The results show that the Ba...
Keywords:Bayes model  Normal distribution  Water quality  Assessment  Sichuan Province  
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