| 基于随机合作博弈模型的PPP项目风险分担 |
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| 引用本文： | 何涛,赵国杰.基于随机合作博弈模型的PPP项目风险分担[J].系统工程,2011(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 何涛 赵国杰 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津大学管理学院; |
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| 摘 要： | 风险分担是PPP项目融资模式需要解决的核心问题之一,不合理的风险分担不仅增加投资成本,甚至将造成项目融资的失败。基于随机合作博弈理论,构建了政府与私人集团的最优合作博弈模型。该模型在考虑参与方风险偏好的基础上实现了风险在双方之间的转移。数值分析表明,该模型既可以确定双方最优风险分担的比例,又可以使经过风险转移后的项目总风险有明显下降,实现了合作效率。
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| 关 键 词： | 随机合作博弈 PPP项目 风险分担 风险转移 |
Risk Allocation in Public Private Partnerships Based on Stochastic Cooperative Game Model |
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| HE Tao,ZHAO Guo-jie.Risk Allocation in Public Private Partnerships Based on Stochastic Cooperative Game Model[J].Systems Engineering,2011(4). |
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| Authors: | HE Tao ZHAO Guo-jie |
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| Institution: | HE Tao,ZHAO Guo-jie(School of Management,Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072,China) |
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| Abstract: | Risk allocation is one of the core issues in the Public Private Partnerships(PPP) project financing model,not only increasing the project cost but also causing the failure of the project financing when allocated inappropriately. Based on the theory of stochastic cooperative games,this paper constructed an optimal model of cooperative game between public and private sectors,which can realize risk transfer between the two sides,based on the risk preference of the participants.The numerical analysis indicates ... |
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| Keywords: | Stochastic Cooperative Games Public Private Partnerships Risk Allocation Risk Transfer |
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