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Value management and model pluralism in climate science
Authors:Julie Jebeile  Michel Crucifix
Affiliation:1. Institute of Philosophy & Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Switzerland;2. UCLouvain, Earth and Life Institute, Belgium
Abstract:Non-epistemic values pervade climate modelling, as is now well documented and widely discussed in the philosophy of climate science. Recently, Parker and Winsberg have drawn attention to what can be termed “epistemic inequality”: this is the risk that climate models might more accurately represent the future climates of the geographical regions prioritised by the values of the modellers. In this paper, we promote value management as a way of overcoming epistemic inequality. We argue that value management can be seriously considered as soon as the value-free ideal and inductive risk arguments commonly used to frame the discussions of value influence in climate science are replaced by alternative social accounts of objectivity. We consider objectivity in Longino's sense as well as strong objectivity in Harding's sense to be relevant options here, because they offer concrete proposals that can guide scientific practice in evaluating and designing so-called multi-model ensembles and, in fine, improve their capacity to quantify and express uncertainty in climate projections.
Keywords:Climate models  Multi-model ensemble  Uncertainty quantification  Model pluralism  Scientific objectivity  Values in science  Value-free ideal  Strong objectivity
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