| 地空导弹研制中的飞行试验样本选择与经费预计的风险决策 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 马玉萍.地空导弹研制中的飞行试验样本选择与经费预计的风险决策[J].系统工程与电子技术,1994(4). |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 马玉萍 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 航天工业总公司二院 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 本文利用可靠性数学模型计算成败型（间断时间试验）参试系统和设备的样本容量和最大允许的失效数及置信下限，再利用经费估计模型求出参试系统和设备样本容量和经费之间的关系，将二者有机的结合，以便优化研制管理。文中以导弹飞行试验数量的决策为例，阐述了该方法在型号研制过程中参与辅助决策的作用。
|
| 关 键 词： | 可靠性预计，地空导弹，武器研制，飞行试验，成本估算，数学模型，风险型决策。 |
Risk Decision about the Sample Selection of Flying Test and Cost Forecasting in the Development of Ground to Air Missile |
| |
| Ma Yuping.Risk Decision about the Sample Selection of Flying Test and Cost Forecasting in the Development of Ground to Air Missile[J].System Engineering and Electronics,1994(4). |
| |
| Authors: | Ma Yuping |
| |
| Abstract: | In this paper, reliability mathematical model is used to predetermine the sample quantity of success-failure type systems and equipment and the maximum allowed failure quantity and the lower confidance limit.The cost forecasting model is used to determine the relationship be-tween the sample capacity and the cost.Their combination can optimize the development and man-agement.For example,the decision of missile quantity in flying test is used to explain the function of the method. |
| |
| Keywords: | Reliability Cost Model Decision |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
