| 新型弹药系统风险估计 |
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| 引用本文： | 顾晓辉,王晓鸣,赵有守.新型弹药系统风险估计[J].南京理工大学学报(自然科学版),2002,26(3):259-262. |
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| 作者姓名： | 顾晓辉 王晓鸣 赵有守 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京理工大学机械工程学院,南京,210094 |
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| 基金项目： | 国防科技预研行业基金资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 该文分析了各种风险分析方法 ,给出了风险的基本概念和风险的特有属性。结合弹药系统的特点 ,给出了用概率统计方法计算的风险度和用费用法计算的技术风险因子。通过反直升机智能雷战斗部的风险分析示例可以看出 ,该风险估计方法受决策者主观影响较小 ,可以广泛应用到弹药系统风险分析中
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| 关 键 词： | 风险分析 弹药 费用 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年2月19日 |
Risk Estimation of New Ammunition System |
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| GuXiaohui,WangXiaoming,ZhaoYoushou.Risk Estimation of New Ammunition System[J].Journal of Nanjing University of Science and Technology(Nature Science),2002,26(3):259-262. |
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| Authors: | GuXiaohui WangXiaoming ZhaoYoushou |
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| Abstract: | The paper analyses various methods of risk analysis and gives out basic concept and characteristics of risk.By combining with the characteristics of the ammunition system,the paper gives out the calculation of risk degree with the method of probability and statistics and the calculation of technique risk factor with the method of development cost.A risk analysis example about anti helicopter intelligent mine warhead indicates that the method of risk estimation has less dependence on the subjectivity of decision maker and can be applied to ammunition system risk analysis. |
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| Keywords: | risk analysis ammunition cost |
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