| 中国特大城市客运交通能源需求变化的因素分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 李政,付峰,高丹.中国特大城市客运交通能源需求变化的因素分析[J].清华大学学报(自然科学版),2008,48(11). |
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| 作者姓名： | 李政 付峰 高丹 |
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| 作者单位： | 清华大学,热能工程系,清华BP清洁能源研究与教育中心,北京,100084 |
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| 基金项目： | BP公司资助项目
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| 摘 要： | 为了定量分析城镇化水平提高、居民出行特征变化等因素对中国特大城市客运交通能耗变化的影响,根据完全分解理论,构建了两阶段分解模型,并用于广州、北京和上海的案例中.结果表明:多数因素都不同程度导致了城市客运交通能耗的增长,类似广州这样的特大型城市处于以城镇化水平提高为最主要驱动的典型时期,类似北京和上海这样的超大型城市则处于由以城镇化水平提高转向以机动化水平提高和居民出行需求增长为最主要驱动的过渡时期.
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| 关 键 词： | 城市客运交通 能源需求 因素分析 |
Decomposition analysis of motorized passenger transport energy demand changes in selected Chinese cities |
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| LI Zheng,FU Feng,GAO Dan.Decomposition analysis of motorized passenger transport energy demand changes in selected Chinese cities[J].Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology),2008,48(11). |
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| Authors: | LI Zheng FU Feng GAO Dan |
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| Institution: | LI Zheng,FU Feng,GAO Dan(Tsinghua-BP Clean Energy Research , Education Center,Department of Thermal Engineering,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China) |
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| Abstract: | A two-phase decomposition model was developed based on the complete decomposition theory to quantitatively analyze the driving forces behind increases in passenger transport energy consumption in Guangzhou,Beijing,and Shanghai.The driving forces include urbanization rates and resident travel behavior.The results show that most of the factors lead to growth of the urban passenger transport demand.In Guangzhou,the increasing urbanization rate is predictably the top driving force;however,Beijing and Shanghai a... |
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| Keywords: | urban passenger transport energy demand decomposition analysis |
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