| 对我国社会消费品零售总额的分析和预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 王耀青. 对我国社会消费品零售总额的分析和预测[J]. 太原科技大学学报, 2007, 28(5): 376-378 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王耀青 |
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| 作者单位： | 山西大学数学科学学院,太原,030006 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章运用时间序列中的建模方法并使用SAS软件，对我国社会消费品零售总额的历年数据建立了ARIMA模型，揭示出数据的变化规律，并且通过模型对以后几年社会消费品零售总额做了预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 零售总额 ARIMA模型 AIC准则 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1673-2057（2007）05-0376-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-04-20 |
Analysis and Prediction for the Retail Amount of Social Consumer Product in China |
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| WANG Yao-qing. Analysis and Prediction for the Retail Amount of Social Consumer Product in China[J]. Journal of Taiyuan University of Science and Technology, 2007, 28(5): 376-378 |
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| Authors: | WANG Yao-qing |
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| Affiliation: | School of Mathematical Sciences, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, China |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,we established ARIMA model to the retail amount of social consumer product using some series methods and SAS systems. Based on the model, we found regular pattern of the data , and predicted the retail amount in the next years. |
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| Keywords: | retail amount ARIMA model AIC criterion forecast |
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