城乡收入差距、农民工数量与农民收入:基于实证数据的分析与思考

关于城乡收入差距、农民工数量与农民收入之间相互关系,传统的经济学相关理论给出了解释.对中国改革开放以来历年统计数据计量分析结果表明:"推拉"理论在中国是适用的,但同时也发现变量之间的因果关系及回归模型系数正负号与传统的经济理论的解释不符.问题的根源在于中国的二元经济结构下农民群体的地位被边缘化并不断加强,这导致农民、农民工通过自身力量只能有限提高收入水平但无法有效缩减城乡收入差距的结果.

Urban-rural Income Gap,the Number of Peasant-workers and Farmers Income:the Rethinking based on the Empirical Data Analysis

The traditional economics theories have given explanations to the relationship of urban-rural income gap,the number of peasant-workers and farmers income.This paper attempts to verify these explanations by using related historical data of China since the reform and opening-up began.The results prove that push-pull theory is applicable in China,but also found a causal relationship between these variables and the sign of regression model coefficients are against to the traditional economics theory explanation...