基于旅游生产线的景区景点闲置、过载和不确定条件下容量决策分析

基于旅游生产线的景区容量模型能较好的分析高峰期景区景点容量的控制问题.该文进一步完善了基于旅游生产线的景区容量计算模型，研究了不同条件下准入批量与最大接待量之间的关系.首先，对景区旅游生产线的景点闲置进行了分析，将景点闲置分为系统闲置和不均衡闲置，并发现准入间隔不等于最大公约数或不等于公约数时都会增加景区景点的闲置.其次，分析了景区旅游生产线的过载情况：当准入批量大于子景点容量时都会使相应的子景点会产生过载，子景点对应的景点也会过载.最后，分析了景点游憩时间和容量不确定条件下基于旅游生产线的容量决策模型.这些问题的深入分析能指导景区更好的进行高峰期景区容量控制，提高景点利用率，保证景区的可持续发展.

The analysis of the idling，overloading and the uncertain condition of the scenic area capacity control model based on the tourism production line

The scenic area capacity analysis model based on tourism production line is a good model to analyze the capacity control problem of multi-spots scenic area in peak time. This article improved the capacity analysis model of the scenic area based on tourism product line. The relationship between the access batch and the maximum capacity in different condition are analyzed. First of all， the idleness of the scenic spots in tourism production line is presented， which is composed by system idleness and imbalance idleness. It's found that if the access interval is not equal to the greatest common divisor or is not equal to the common factor will increase the scenic spots idleness. Secondly， the overload of the scenic spots during the open time is also investigated. If the access quantity are greater than some limitation of the scenic spots， the scenic spots will be overload during the open time. Finally， the way to use the capacity decision model are proposed under the uncertain condition， including uncertain visit time and uncertain capacity. The results of this paper are able to be used as an important reference for controlling the capacity of the scenic spots in peak time， improving the utilization rate of attractions and ensuring the sustainable development of scenic area.