| 非线性组合模型及应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 韩天锡.非线性组合模型及应用[J].天津科技大学学报,2004,19(2):53-55. |
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| 作者姓名： | 韩天锡 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津理工学院,天津,300191 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科委十五攻关项目:(2001BA601B01 010506) |
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| 摘 要： | 针对预测研究中，变量指标较多，数据携带的信息较弱且和预测变量是非线性关系，因此造成预测结果稳定性不强的问题，构造了非线性组合模型，解决了上述问题．应用于华北地区2001～2002年的季度地震预报．8次预报，有6次预报结果满意，2次为比较满意．
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| 关 键 词： | 地震 非线性 组合模型 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1762-6510(2004)02-0053-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年9月9日 |
NONLINEAR COMBINED MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION |
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| HAN Tian-xi.NONLINEAR COMBINED MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION[J].Journal of Tianjin University of Science & Technology,2004,19(2):53-55. |
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| Authors: | HAN Tian-xi |
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| Abstract: | In the research problem of forecast, there exists many variable indexes, theinformation attached in the data are very weak and their relationships with forecast variablesare nonlinear, which bring about the weak stability problem of the forecast results, then thenonlinear combined Model is constructed and the above problem is resolved in this paper, inthe meantime, this method is applied to the earthquake forecast of north China and thesatisfying effect is achieved. |
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| Keywords: | earthquake nonlinearity combined-model forecast |
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