基于计算实验的探索性分析框架研究

提出基于计算实验的探索性分析方法,该方法可用于复杂系统的不确定性分析,既适合对其进行高层次规划与论证,又适合对其进行详细评估.提出了实验规划的概念,从整体上将仿真实验的各准备步骤进行统筹规划.结合实验规划,以信息化作战体系对抗为例,给出了基于计算实验的探索性分析框架的组成和过程.本框架已初步成功应用于C4ISR系统的效能评估.

Research on Framework of Exploratory Analysis Based on Computational Experiments

Exploratory analysis based on computational experiments was put forward. This methodology can be used for uncertainty analysis for complex systems, including either high level programming and demonstration or detailed evaluation. The concept of experimental programming was also brought forward to wholly plan all the preparative processes for simulative experiments as a whole. With experimental programming combined, taking example for system-of-systems encounter of informational battle, the constitution and process of the framework of exploratory analysis were given based on computational experiments. The framework has been applied to measure of effectiveness for C4ISR.