| A Capital Investment Appraisal Model Based Cognitive Influence Diagrams |
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| 作者姓名： | LIU Jinlan HAN Wenxiu LI Guangquan |
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| 作者单位： | Tianjin University，300072，China |
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| 摘 要： | ＡＣａｐｉｔａｌＩｎｖｅｓｔｍｅｎｔＡｐｐｒａｉｓａｌＭｏｄｅｌＢａｓｅｄＣｏｇｎｉｔｉｖｅＩｎｆｌｕｅｎｃｅＤｉａｇｒａｍｓＬＩＵＪｉｎｌａｎ；ＨＡＮＷｅｎｘｉｕ；ＬＩＧｕａｎｇｑｕａｎ（ＴｉａｎｊｉｎＵｎｉｖｅｒｓｉｔｙ，３０００７２，Ｃｈｉｎａ...
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A Capital Investment Appraisal Model Based Cognitive Influence Diagrams |
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| LIU Jinlan, HAN Wenxiu, LI Guangquan.A Capital Investment Appraisal Model Based Cognitive Influence Diagrams[J].Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering,1996(3). |
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| Authors: | LIU Jinlan HAN Wenxiu LI Guangquan |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, we first analyse the shortcomings of existing investment appraisal methodologs, and present the theory of cognitive influence diagrams, which is constructed by integrating cognitive maps and influence diagrams. Simulation is used to solve the probabilistic inference by using the sample spare of each random variable involved in the analysis. A dynamic criterion is supposed based on the separable nature of value function. With this criterion. We combine influence diagrams with dynamic economic assessment. Thus the dynamic characteristics of investment proposal can be evaluated. |
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| Keywords: | cognitive influence diagrams investment project dynamic appraisal |
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