| 关于铁路运输景气警告指标的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张国华,胡思继,张鹏辉,张跃玲,王存智. 关于铁路运输景气警告指标的研究[J]. 北京交通大学学报(自然科学版), 1999, 23(3) |
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| 作者姓名： | 张国华 胡思继 张鹏辉 张跃玲 王存智 |
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| 作者单位： | 北方交通大学交通运输学院，铁道部 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用现代统计学的分析方法，提出了反映铁路运输宏观景气状况的警告指标，给出了反映铁路运输景气发展正常与否的重要标志和临界区间，以此来评价铁路运输景气运行的冷热程度和正常与否，并揭示铁路运输宏观景气状况中各种因素之间相互影响的关系和铁路运输景气变化的内在规律
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| 关 键 词： | 景气信号 景气评分 临界点 景气区间 |
Research on Prosperous Warning Indices of Railway Transportation |
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| Zhang Guohua,Hu Siji,Zhang Penghui,Zhang Yueling,Wang Cunzhi. Research on Prosperous Warning Indices of Railway Transportation[J]. JOURNAL OF BEIJING JIAOTONG UNIVERSITY, 1999, 23(3) |
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| Authors: | Zhang Guohua Hu Siji Zhang Penghui Zhang Yueling Wang Cunzhi |
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| Abstract: | On the basis of modern statistics, we propose a method of prosperous warning indices in railway transportation, to bring up the important signal and critical point which can reflect when the market progress of the railway transportation is normal;to evaluate railway transportation prosperous status and analyze railway transportation prosperous normality;to disclosure common relationship among all kinds of elements of railway transportation prosperity and internal law of railway transportation prosperous progress. |
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| Keywords: | prosperous signal prosperous scores critical point prosperous interval |
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