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| 基于结构突变理论的我国人均GDP的趋势分析 | |
| 引用本文： | 范英兵,房彦兵,潘学锋. 基于结构突变理论的我国人均GDP的趋势分析[J]. 科学技术与工程, 2010, 10(2) |
| 作者姓名： | 范英兵 房彦兵 潘学锋 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 宁夏大学数学计算机学院,银川,750021;黑河学院数学系,黑河,164300 2. 宁夏大学数学计算机学院,银川,750021;西南财经大学金融学院,成都,611130 3. 宁夏大学数学计算机学院,银川,750021;石河子大学数学系,石河子,832003 |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(10901004)资助 |
| 摘 要： | 用结构突变理论,对我国1978—2008年的人均GDP进行实证分析。分析得到:自1978年以来,我国人均GDP服从结构变化的趋势稳定生成的单位根过程,其数据生成过程没有发生结构突变,因此我国人均GDP将在未来的一段时间内保持稳定上涨趋势。 |
| 关 键 词： | 结构突变 人均GDP 稳定趋势 单位根检验 数据生成过程 |
Research on the Average GDP of China Based on the Structure Catastrophe Theory |
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| FAN Ying-bing,FANG Yan-bing,PAN Xue-feng. Research on the Average GDP of China Based on the Structure Catastrophe Theory[J]. Science Technology and Engineering, 2010, 10(2) | |
| Authors: | FAN Ying-bing FANG Yan-bing PAN Xue-feng |
| Affiliation: | School of Mathematics and Computer Science/a>;Ningxia University1/a>;Yinchuan 750021/a>;P.R.China/a>;Department of Mathematics/a>;Heihe University2/a>;Heihe 164300/a>;School of Finance/a>;Southwestevn University of Finance and Economics3/a>;Chengdu 011130/a>;Shihezi University4/a>;Shihezi 832003/a>;P.R.China |
| Abstract: | The structure catastrophe theory is applied to make an empirical analysis of the average GDP of China from 1978 to 2008.The results show that the average GDP of China follows the unit root process which is generated by the structure change's trend stability.It doesn't have a structure change point since 1978.So the average GDP of China will maintain the stable rising trend in a future time. |
| Keywords: | structure change the average GDP trend stability unit-root examination data generating process |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |