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Influenza A (HIN1) transmission by road traffic between cities and towns
引用本文:XIAO Hong,TIAN HuaiYu,ZHAO Jian,ZHANG XiXing,LI YaPin,LIU Yi,LIU RuChun,CHEN TianMu. Influenza A (HIN1) transmission by road traffic between cities and towns[J]. 科学通报(英文版), 2011, 56(24): 2613-2620. DOI: 10.1007/s11434-011-4598-5
作者姓名:XIAO Hong  TIAN HuaiYu  ZHAO Jian  ZHANG XiXing  LI YaPin  LIU Yi  LIU RuChun  CHEN TianMu
作者单位:[1]College of Resources and Environment Science, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China; [2]Peking University Health Science Center, Beijing 100191, China; [3]Changsha Municipal Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Changsha 410001, China; [4]State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Academy of Military Medical Science, Beijing 100071, China; [5]School of Mechanical, Electronic and Information Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology (Beijing Campus), Beifing 100083, China
基金项目:supported by the Key Discipline Construction Project in Hunan Province (2008001); the Science and Technology Planning Project of Hunan Province, China (2010SK3007)
摘    要:Influenza A (H1N1) was spread widely between cities and towns by road traffic and had a major impact on public health in China in 2009. Understanding regulation of its transmission is of great significance with urbanization ongoing and for mitigation of damage by the epidemic. We analyzed influenza A (H1N1) spatiotemporal transmission and risk factors along roads in Changsha, and combined diffusion velocity and floating population size to construct an epidemic diffusion model to simulate its transmission between cities and towns. The results showed that areas along the highways and road intersections had a higher incidence rate than other areas. Expressways and county roads played an important role in the rapid development stage and the epidemic peak, respectively, and intercity bus stations showed a high risk of disease transmission. The model simulates the intensity and center of disease outbreaks in cities and towns, and provides a more complete simulation of the disease spatiotemporal process than other models.

关 键 词:influenza A (H1N1)  road traffic  spatiotemporal transmission  incidence rate  risk factors
收稿时间:2009-06-30

Influenza A (H1N1) transmission by road traffic between cities and towns
Hong Xiao,HuaiYu Tian,Jian Zhao,XiXing Zhang,YaPin Li,Yi Liu,RuChun Liu,TianMu Chen. Influenza A (H1N1) transmission by road traffic between cities and towns[J]. Chinese science bulletin, 2011, 56(24): 2613-2620. DOI: 10.1007/s11434-011-4598-5
Authors:Hong Xiao  HuaiYu Tian  Jian Zhao  XiXing Zhang  YaPin Li  Yi Liu  RuChun Liu  TianMu Chen
Affiliation:XIAO Hong~1*,TIAN HuaiYu~1,ZHAO Jian~2,ZHANG XiXing~3,LI YaPin~4,LIU Yi~5,LIU RuChun~3 & CHEN TianMu~3 1 College of Resources and Environment Science,Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081,China,2 Peking University Health Science Center,Beijing 100191,3 Changsha Municipal Center for Disease Prevention and Control,Changsha 410001,4 State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity,Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology,Academy of Military Medical Science,Beijing 100071,Chi...
Abstract:Influenza A (H1N1) was spread widely between cities and towns by road traffic and had a major impact on public health in China in 2009. Understanding regulation of its transmission is of great significance with urbanization ongoing and for mitigation of damage by the epidemic. We analyzed influenza A (H1N1) spatiotemporal transmission and risk factors along roads in Changsha, and combined diffusion velocity and floating population size to construct an epidemic diffusion model to simulate its transmission be...
Keywords:influenza A (H1N1)  road traffic  spatiotemporal transmission  incidence rate  risk factors  
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