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Fisher判别法在聚合物驱潜力评价中的应用
引用本文:黄烈林,侯健,陈月明,李振泉,张以根,元福卿.Fisher判别法在聚合物驱潜力评价中的应用[J].中国石油大学学报(自然科学版),2002,26(1).
作者姓名:黄烈林  侯健  陈月明  李振泉  张以根  元福卿
作者单位:1. 江汉油田分公司勘探开发研究院,湖北潜江,433124
2. 石油大学石油工程学院,山东东营,257061
3. 胜利油田有限公司地质科学研究院,山东东营,257015
基金项目:“九五”国家重点科技项目 (96-12 1-0 8-0 2 )
摘    要:首次将判别分析法用于化学驱潜力评价 ,提出了一种基于Fisher判别法的聚合物驱潜力评价方法 ,并编写了相应程序。该方法优点在于计算快捷 ,考虑因素较为全面 ,计算结果具有较高的可靠性。在目前利用已实施聚合物驱区块的统计数据构造样本集较为困难的情况下 ,综合利用正交设计、油藏数值模拟和经济评价 ,提出了样本集的生成办法。以胜利油区为例进行了分析 ,回代数据总正判率达到 94 .0 % ,从而验证了该方法的有效性。同时 ,该方法提供的研究思路可推广到其他三次采油方法的潜力评价中。

关 键 词:聚合物驱  判别法  驱油潜力  数值模拟  经济评价

Application of Fisher discrimination method to potential evaluation of polymer flooding
HUANG Lie lin,HOU Jian,CHEN Yue\|ming,et al..Application of Fisher discrimination method to potential evaluation of polymer flooding[J].Journal of China University of Petroleum,2002,26(1).
Authors:HUANG Lie lin  HOU Jian  CHEN Yue\|ming  
Abstract:The discrimination method is firstly applied to evaluate the resource potential of oilfields. A method for evaluating polymer flooding potential based on Fisher discrimination method is proposed, and the corresponding program is also developed. This method has the advantages of fast calculation, full considerating factors and higher calculation reliability. At present, it is difficult to build sample set according to statistical data from the conducted polymer flooding regions. So, a method for generating sample set is presented by comprehensive application of quadrature design, reservoir simulation and economical evaluation methods. The calculation example on the condition of Shengli oilfield verifies the validity of this method. In this example, the rate of correct differentiation reaches 94.0%. The investigative method provided in this paper can be extended to the potential evaluation of other tertiary oil recovery.
Keywords:polymer flooding  discrimination method  potential evaluation  numerical simulation  economical evaluation
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