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| 能源需求与经济增长关系的均衡分析 | |
| 引用本文： | 李凤升. 能源需求与经济增长关系的均衡分析[J]. 科学技术与工程, 2011, 11(12) |
| 作者姓名： | 李凤升 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 东北石油大学石油经济与管理研究所,大庆,163318 2. 中国石油西南化工销售分公司,成都,610015 3. 中国石油天然气股份有限公司,长庆油田分公司财务资产处,西安,710021 |
| 基金项目： | 黑龙江省高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(10E006) |
| 摘 要： | 根据1985-2009年中国能源需求和经济增长统计数据，运用Granger因果关系检验、单位根检验、协整检验、误差修正模型方法进行实证分析，结果表明中国能源需求与经济增长之间存在着双向的Granger因果关系；能源需求与经济增长之间存在着长期均衡关系，能源消费弹性系数为0.58，即经济增长每增加1%，对能源的需求量将增加0.58%。 |
| 关 键 词： | 能源需求 经济增长 协整检验 |
| 收稿时间： | 2011-01-26 |
| 修稿时间： | 2011-01-26 |
An Equilibrium Analysis on the Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth |
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| lifengsheng. An Equilibrium Analysis on the Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth[J]. Science Technology and Engineering, 2011, 11(12) | |
| Authors: | lifengsheng |
| Affiliation: | LI Feng-sheng1,SUN Yan-bin1,LI Xue-yuan2,PU Xiong3(Petroleum Economics and Management Institute,Northeast Petroleum University1,Daqing 163318,P.R.China,Chemical Marketing Company of Petro China Southwest2,Chengdu 610015,Financial Assets Department,Changqing OilField Company of PetroChina3,Xi an 710021,P.R.China) |
| Abstract: | It made an empirical analysis on the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth by using Granger causality test, unit root rest, co-integration test, error correction model according to the corresponding data from 1985 to 2009 in China. It showed that there was double-direction causality and the long-term stable equilibrium relationship between energy consumption and economic growth. Elasticity coefficient of energy consumption is 0.58. That is to say, if the value of economic growth increases by 1 percent, the energy consumption would increase by 0.58 percent. |
| Keywords: | energy consumption economic growth co-integration test |
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