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南京东路火灾预测咨询系统
引用本文:陆伟民,李春和.南京东路火灾预测咨询系统[J].同济大学学报(自然科学版),1994,22(1):83-88.
作者姓名:陆伟民  李春和
作者单位:上海市防灾救灾研究所
摘    要:对商业街区火灾预测及减灾对策的研究是消防科学的工程实践之一。本文以消防理论为基础,基于灰色预测模型和专家系统方法在微机上实现南京东路未来几年内火灾的预测和现有建筑物及其构件的防火安全性评估。

关 键 词:火灾  预测  灰色模型  咨询系统

A Consulting System for Fire Damage Prediction on East Naming Road
Lu Weimin, Li Chunhe, Zhu Bolong.A Consulting System for Fire Damage Prediction on East Naming Road[J].Journal of Tongji University(Natural Science),1994,22(1):83-88.
Authors:Lu Weimin  Li Chunhe  Zhu Bolong
Abstract:Considering the fact that the research on fire prediction and relief for commercial streets is one of the engineering practices of fire control theory, which the paper is based on, we give a result of fire prediction, by using Grey Model, on East Naming Road in the near future ten years and the safety eyaluation of fire prevention for existing buildings and structural members as well. All these are realized with microcomputer takillg adyantage of expert system method.
Keywords:Fire Prediction  Grey Model  Data base  Consulting system  
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