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基于信息似然比的导弹落点仿真可信性分析
引用本文:张湘平,贺汉根,谢红卫,胡德文.基于信息似然比的导弹落点仿真可信性分析[J].系统仿真学报,2005,17(6):1347-1349,1362.
作者姓名:张湘平  贺汉根  谢红卫  胡德文
作者单位:国防科技大学机电工程与自动化学院,湖南长沙,410073
摘    要:从理论上给出了关于导弹落点仿真的可信度定义;运用Bayes方法推导了仿真可信度的计算公式,并利用信息似然比的概念解决了仿真可信度计算中若干关键问题;通过分析仿真可信度与仿真费用之间的相互关系,得到了一个有意义的结果,即:它们之间的关系可近似用sigmoid函数来描述。

关 键 词:仿真可信度  信息似然比  Bayes  导弹落点
文章编号:1004-731X(2005)06-1347-03

Simulation Creditability Analysis of the Missile Impact Point Based on Information Likelihood Rate
Zhang Xiang-ping,HE Han-gen,XIE Hong-wei,HU De-wen.Simulation Creditability Analysis of the Missile Impact Point Based on Information Likelihood Rate[J].Journal of System Simulation,2005,17(6):1347-1349,1362.
Authors:Zhang Xiang-ping  HE Han-gen  XIE Hong-wei  HU De-wen
Abstract:A definition of simulation creditability of the missile impact point is given in theory. A calculation formula of simulation creditability has been deduced by used Bayesian method and a few of key problems about calculating simulation creditability have been solved by using the concept of information likelihood rate. The relationship between simulation creditability and simulation cost has been analyzed and a valuable result has been obtained, that is, their relationship can been approximately described by sigmoid function.
Keywords:simulation creditability  information likelihood rate  Bayes  missile impact point  
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