| 新丰江流域降水和径流量长期预测 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 陈俊合,周文,王萍.新丰江流域降水和径流量长期预测[J].中山大学学报(自然科学版),2001,40(3):104-107. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 陈俊合 周文 王萍 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 中山大学地球与环境科学学院, |
| |
| 基金项目： | 香港研究基金资助项目(2120095) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 利用正规化周期回归预测模型，对新丰江流的月降水长流序列进行拟合分析和预测，无论是拟合的过程还是预测检验的结果都与实测值基本符合，说明该预测模型是可行的，该模型还具有能充分利用水文系列信息，采用对最大左侧概率PF值者进行F检验，从而提高了检验的信度等优点。
|
| 关 键 词： | 正规化周期回归预测模型 新丰江流域 降水预测 径流量预测 长期预测 |
| 文章编号： | 0529-6579(2001)03-0104-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2000年8月15日 |
Research on Long-term
Prediction of Rainfall and Runoff in Xinfengjiang River Basin |
| |
| CHEN Jun-he,ZHOU Wen,WANG Ping.Research on Long-term
Prediction of Rainfall and Runoff in Xinfengjiang River Basin[J].Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Sunyatseni,2001,40(3):104-107. |
| |
| Authors: | CHEN Jun-he ZHOU Wen WANG Ping |
| |
| Abstract: | Based on normalized periodic regression forecasting model, the monthly precipitation and runoff in Xinfengjiang River basin are analyzed, simulated and predicted The fitting and predicting results are close to the observed ones, which proves that the model is feasible The model also has a strong point that can ensure the confidence interval by proceeding the F_test on P\-\{F\}, the maximum left_hand probability, with abundant serial information |
| |
| Keywords: | normalized periodic regression forecasting rainfall variation runoff variation Xinfengjiang River basin |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
