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基于灰色系统的西安世园会对第三产业影响分析
引用本文:王培勋,郭 茹.基于灰色系统的西安世园会对第三产业影响分析[J].延安大学学报(自然科学版),2014(1):12-15.
作者姓名:王培勋  郭 茹
作者单位:西安财经学院统计学院,陕西西安710061
摘    要:选取西安市的第三产业为研究对象,针对2011年西安世园会对第三产业中旅游业、金融业、交通业、城市建设业、房地产业、商业饮食业和文化业等7个行业的影响力进行了评价分析.建立了灰色系统综合评价模型,通过定量评估,得到了世园会对2007-2011年间第三产业的影响力分析结果,并利用所建模型预测了世园会对2012-2015年间第三产业的影响力.该模型具有很好的移植性,可以应用到各类大型经济活动对社会各行业影响力的分析与预测中.

关 键 词:世园会  第三产业  灰色系统理论

Comprehensive Evaluation of the World Garden Expo Effect on Tertiary Industry of Xian Based on Grey Theory
WANG Pei-xun,GUO Ru.Comprehensive Evaluation of the World Garden Expo Effect on Tertiary Industry of Xian Based on Grey Theory[J].Journal of Yan'an University(Natural Science Edition),2014(1):12-15.
Authors:WANG Pei-xun  GUO Ru
Institution:( School of Statistics, Xihn University of Finance and Economics, Xihn 710061, China)
Abstract:Selecting the tertiary industry of Xi'an as the research object, this paper evaluated and analysised the effects of the World Garden Expo on the industries including tourism, finance, transportation, urban construction, real estate,commercial catering, and culture in 2011. This article established a comprehensive evaluation model of gray system, after quantitatively assessment of Xi'an World Garden Expo, the datas about the World Garden Expog influence on the tertiary industry from 2007 to 2011 were obtained, and the influence on the tertiary industry from 2012 to 2015 was predicted according to the established model. The model has a good portability, could be applied to all kinds of large - scale economic activities towards the analysis and prediction of the influence about the various sectors of society.
Keywords:World garden Expo  the tertiary industry  grey theory
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