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后疫情时代中国散发疫情综合评价体系构建及应用
引用本文:刘梦洁,陈垟羊,陈雅楠,陈安. 后疫情时代中国散发疫情综合评价体系构建及应用[J]. 科技导报(北京), 2022, 40(9): 67-77. DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2022.09.008
作者姓名:刘梦洁  陈垟羊  陈雅楠  陈安
作者单位:1. 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049;2. 中国科学院大学中丹学院, 北京 101408;3. 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院, 北京 100190;4. 四川大学公共管理学院, 成都 610065
基金项目:国家社会科学基金重点项目(19AZD019);;国家语言文字工作委员会“十三五”科研规划重点项目(ZDI135-119);
摘    要: 为增强散发疫情防控的科学性,从疫情防控、疫情溯源以及疫情背景3个维度,疫情持续时间、确诊病例、发现途径、流动人口管理政策、流调追踪、核酸检测等9个分指标,构建疫情散发防控效率评价指标体系,对2020年6月1日至2021年6月1日全国32个地区散发疫情的控制情况进行计算与评估。研究结果显示,中国散发疫情防控存在地区间防控效率差异明显、防控措施强度与疫情严重程度不相适应、地区间流动人口的管理政策缺乏统一的科学依据等问题,在此基础上提出了针对性的改进建议。

关 键 词:散发疫情  防控效率  综合评价  
收稿时间:2021-07-14

Construction and application of a comprehensive evaluation system for COVID-19 sporadic outbreak in China in the post-epidemic era
LIU Mengjie,CHEN Yangyang,CHEN Yanan,CHEN An. Construction and application of a comprehensive evaluation system for COVID-19 sporadic outbreak in China in the post-epidemic era[J]. Science & Technology Review, 2022, 40(9): 67-77. DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2022.09.008
Authors:LIU Mengjie  CHEN Yangyang  CHEN Yanan  CHEN An
Affiliation:1. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;2. Sino-Danish College, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 101408, China;3. Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;4. School of Public Administration, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China
Abstract:This paper constructs an index system for evaluating the efficiency of COVID-19 sporadic outbreak prevention and control from three dimensions (epidemic prevention and control, epidemic traceability, and epidemic background) and with nine sub-indicators (pidemic duration, confirmed cases, detection route, mobile population management policy, flow investigation and tracing, nucleic acid detection, etc.) This evaluation index system is used to calculate and evaluate the control of epidemic in all the 32 regions of Chian since June 1, 2020 to June 1, 2021. Results show that there were significant differences in the efficiency of epidemic prevention and control among these regions, that the intensity of prevention and control measures did not match the severity of the epidemic, and that the management policies for mobile populations across regions lacked a unified yet scientific basis. Based on these, certain epidemic prevention and control management optimization suggestions are presented.
Keywords:COVID-19 sporadic outbreak  the prevention and control efficiency  comprehensive evaluation  
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