| Monte－Carlo法在航运项目经济评估中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 王宏.Monte－Carlo法在航运项目经济评估中的应用[J].宁夏大学学报(自然科学版),1995(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 王宏 |
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| 作者单位： | 宁夏大学教学系 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章探讨Ｍｏｎｔｅ－Ｃａｒｌｏ仿真法在项目投资经济评估问题中的应用。解决建立随机因素以及实际问题的概率分布；所需分布随机数的产生；计算机程序的编写；计算结果的处理与应用。最后用Ｍｏｎｔｅ－Ｃａｒｌｏ法对某航运扩建项目进行了经济评估计算，并与一般性国民经济评估相对比，显示了Ｍｏｎｔｅ－Ｃａｒｌｏ法的优越性。
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| 关 键 词： | 随机数 净现值 投资 随机因素 仿真法 风险度 |
THE APPLICATION OF MONTE-CARLO METHOD IN ECONOMIC ESTIMATION OF SHIPPING PROJECT |
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| Wang,Hong.THE APPLICATION OF MONTE-CARLO METHOD IN ECONOMIC ESTIMATION OF SHIPPING PROJECT[J].Journal of Ningxia University(Natural Science Edition),1995(1). |
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| Authors: | Wang Hong |
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| Abstract: | The application of Monte-Carlo method in the economic assess of project invest-ment has been introduced.The probability distribution of the random factor and that in thereal problems has been presented.The method for the emergence of the random numberneeded for the distribution is presented.With the method,an extensive shipping project is as-sessed and the advantage of the method has been shown. |
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| Keywords: | random number net present value investment random factor Monte-Carlomethod venture |
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