煤矿瓦斯爆炸危险性的ANP-SPA评价模型及应用

 为防控煤矿瓦斯爆炸危险,针对煤矿瓦斯爆炸影响因素之间相互作用的特点,在网络分析法和集对分析法等研究基础上,构建了煤矿瓦斯爆炸事故演化危险性的ANP-SPA评价模型。该模型从“人-机-环-管理”4个方面分析煤矿瓦斯爆炸的主要影响因素,采用网络分析法(ANP)构建评价指标的网络结构体系并计算指标权重分布,结合集对分析法(SPA)理论的联系熵对煤矿瓦斯爆炸危险性进行综合评价。以南方某煤矿为例,对其进行瓦斯爆炸危险性评价,结果表明该评价模型能够有效地发现其风险主控因素和处理它们之间的复杂影响关系,为煤矿瓦斯事故的风险控制和管理提供重要参考。

Application of ANP-SPA Risk Assessment Model for Gas Explosion in Coal Mine

Based on the characteristics of the interaction between the influencing factors of the gas explosion, an ANP-SPA risk assessment model is built for the prevention and control of the gas explosion in coal mine using the Analytic Network Process (ANP) and the Set Pair Analysis (SPA). This model can be used to analyze the main influencing factors of the gas explosion from four aspects, including man, machine, environment and management, to build the network structure system of the assessment indexes, to calculate the weights of the indexes based on the Analytic Network Process, and to assess comprehensively the risk of the gas explosion, combined with the theory of the connection entropy in the Set Pair Analysis. A coal mine in the South is taken as an example and its gas explosion risk is assessed. It is shown that the method could find the key risk factors and deal effectively the complex influence relationship among them, and provide an important reference for the coal mine gas accident risk control and management.