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近程反导舰炮武器系统射击效率评估
引用本文:郑晓晖,吴晓锋,冷画屏.近程反导舰炮武器系统射击效率评估[J].系统仿真学报,2008,20(23):6538-6541.
作者姓名:郑晓晖  吴晓锋  冷画屏
作者单位:海军兵种指挥学院
摘    要:近程舰炮武器系统担负着舰艇末端防空反导任务。提出了一种评估反导射击效率的方法,该方法选取了单目标毁伤概率、毁伤目标数学期望、服务概率作为射击效率指标。在确定舰炮武器系统有效射击区域的基础上,分析了反导可射击条件,研究了对单目标沿其航路射击的可射击时间、点射次数、受到各次点射的概率,利用经验公式得到单目标毁伤概率。然后,研究了多座舰炮对群目标射击时毁伤目标数学期望、服务概率两项评估指标的计算方法。实例计算分析表明该方法有效可行。

关 键 词:舰炮  反导  毁伤概率  毁伤目标数学期望  服务概率

Evaluating Fire Efficiency for Short-range Anti-missile Shipborne Gun System
ZHENG Xiao-hui,WU Xiao-feng,LENG Hua-ping.Evaluating Fire Efficiency for Short-range Anti-missile Shipborne Gun System[J].Journal of System Simulation,2008,20(23):6538-6541.
Authors:ZHENG Xiao-hui  WU Xiao-feng  LENG Hua-ping
Abstract:Short-range shipborne gun system shoulders the responsibility of anti-missile and air defense task of warship.A method to evaluate anti-missile firing efficiency was proposed.The method chose damage probability of single target,mathematical expectation of damaged targets and service probability as indexes.Based on calculation of available firing region,the conditions to firing,firing duration,firing times and the probability of firing times were analyzed.Damage probability of single target was calculated using experiential formula.Methods to calculate mathematical expectation of damaged targets and serving probability were studied when more than one gun firing at grouped targets.An example demonstrates that the approach is effective.
Keywords:shipborne gun  anti-missile  damage probability  mathematical expectation of damaged targets  service probability  
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