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时序相似集合预报法及其在天气预报中的应用技巧
引用本文:张成军,陈炜,范晓华.时序相似集合预报法及其在天气预报中的应用技巧[J].甘肃联合大学学报(自然科学版),2009,23(2).
作者姓名:张成军  陈炜  范晓华
作者单位:1. 固原市气象台,宁夏,固原,756000
2. 固原基准站,宁夏,固原,756000
3. 隆德气象局,宁夏,隆德,756300
摘    要:利用VB语言成功建立了应用地面自动站数据的多站多要素时序相似集合预报法,并结合实例详细阐述了相似集合预报图在天气预报应用中的技巧,突显了地面数据相似集合预报在短时、短期预报业务中不应忽视的参考性价值.

关 键 词:时间序列  相似集合  实时预报  自动站  多站多要素

The Forecast Method of Sequential and Similar Sets and It's Applied Technique in Weather Forecast
ZHANG Cheng-jun,CHEN Wei,FAN Xiao-hua.The Forecast Method of Sequential and Similar Sets and It's Applied Technique in Weather Forecast[J].Journal of Gansu Lianhe University :Natural Sciences,2009,23(2).
Authors:ZHANG Cheng-jun  CHEN Wei  FAN Xiao-hua
Institution:1.Guyuan Meteorological Office;Guyuan 756000;China;2.Guyuan Standard Station;3.Longde Meteorological Bureau;Longde 756300;China
Abstract:In this paper by using the VB language the forecast method of sequential and similar sets about multi-station and multi-factor which is established successfully by applying the data of ground automatic station is introduced,then the applied techniques about this forecast method in weather forecast,in the light of practical cases are expounded in details.From these we can see that this forecast method has the referent value and cannot be ignored in nowcasting business.
Keywords:time sequence  similar sets  real-time prediction  automatic meteorological station  multi-station and multi-factor  
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