技术进步对长三角区域经济增长贡献的实证研究

选取长三角两省一市1990—2009年共20年的统计数据,根据新古典经济增长模型和索洛"余值法"来测定经济增长中技术进步贡献率,结果显示长三角中江苏省经济增长质量较好,为集约型经济增长模型,浙江省经济增长方式为并重型增长模式,上海还是依赖于固定资产投资的粗放型发展模式,技术进步已成为推动江苏和浙江经济发展的首要力量。从技术进步对经济贡献率的趋势来看,两省一市的技术进步对经济的贡献率先增长后下降。

Empirical Study on Contribution to Regional Economic Growth of the Yangtze River Delta by Technological Progress

Technological progress to economic growth of the research is currently still a hot spot. According to neoclassical economic growth model and the Solow ＂residual method＂ ,the paper selects 20 years data from 1990 to 2009 of the Yangtze River Delta to determine the contribution of technological progress in economic growth, calculates from the data model of Yangtze River Delta. The result shows Jiangsu Province has a better quality of economic growth which is a intensive economic growth model. Economic growth model of Zhejiang Province is the same effect of technological progress and the other resource. Shanghai is still dependent on the fixed as- sets investment, so it is an extensive development mode. Technological progress has become the primary force of economic development in Jiangsu and Zhejiang. From the contribution of technological progress on economic trends, the contribution to economic growth by technological progress rise at first and decline at last.