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莆田市枇杷冻害特征分析与预报研究
引用本文:蒋荣复,陈艺芳,林永强.莆田市枇杷冻害特征分析与预报研究[J].中国西部科技,2010,9(35):6-8.
作者姓名:蒋荣复  陈艺芳  林永强
作者单位:莆田市气象局,福建莆田351100
摘    要:本文对莆田市1963~2008年的霜冻过程进行统计,进而分析了霜冻的气候特征。经过实地勘察,将莆田市枇杷霜冻的空间区域划分成无霜冻、霜冻、多霜冻等三个区。结合霜冻的气候特征和分布特征,分析历史霜冻个例的500hPa环流和地面形势,建立莆田市霜冻的预报模型,并利用2004年1月19日至2月5日4次强冷空气的影响过程对此预报模型进行验证,拟合效果良好。

关 键 词:枇杷  霜冻  气候特征  预报研究

Feature Analysis and Forecast Research of Loquat Frost Injury in Putian
JIANG Rong-fu,CHEN Yi-fang,LIN Yong-qiang.Feature Analysis and Forecast Research of Loquat Frost Injury in Putian[J].Science and Technology of West China,2010,9(35):6-8.
Authors:JIANG Rong-fu  CHEN Yi-fang  LIN Yong-qiang
Institution:(Putian Meteorological Office,Putian,Fujian 351100)
Abstract:On the basis of analyzing frost in Putian City from 1963 to 2004,the article analyses the climate feature of loquat.On site examination and analysis of general survey of agricultural climate and division materials,the frost region of loquat in Putian City is divided into three district:non-frost,frost,and over-frost.Combined with these feature,it analyses past 500hPa circular current and ground.Then the forecast pattern is verified through the four strong cold airs from Jan.19 to Feb.5 in the year 2004 which proved to be effective.
Keywords:Loquat  Frost  Climate feature  Forecast research
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