模糊分析方法在期货交易风险分析中的应用

文章运用模糊数学中贴近度和模糊积分的方法，首先将期货交易风险分为5个一级风险和27个二级子风险，然后给出各级标准风险量化值，再计算各评估对象与各级标准风险量化值的贴近度，从而得出各评估对象所属的级别。然后对各评估对象所属的级别的标准风险量化值进行模糊积分。通过比较各评估对象的最终综合分析风险值，做出风险排序。文章的最后对此种风险评价方法做了简要评述。

The Application of Fuzzy Analysis Method in Futures Business Risk Analysis

This article utilizes the matching and the fuzzy integral method in the fuzzy mathematics.First it divides futures business risk into 5 first level risks and 27 second level sub-risks,then gives standard risk quantification value of all levels and calculates the matching of each appraisal object and standard risk quantification value of all levels,thus obtains respective rank of each appraisal object.Then it carries on the fuzzy integral to standard risk quantification value of each appraisal object respective rank.Finally it compares each appraisal object's final generalized analysis risk value and then gets the risk sorting.In the end of the article,we make a brief commentary to this risk assessment method.