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以风险决策为基础的流域防洪系统规划
引用本文:黄志中,鞠茂森.以风险决策为基础的流域防洪系统规划[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),1995,23(4):12-18.
作者姓名:黄志中  鞠茂森
作者单位:Dept.of Hydro-power Engineering,Hohai Univ.
摘    要:针对期望值方法的缺陷,将分区多目标方法应用到防洪系统最优规模决策中。该方法既考虑了经济上的最优性,又充分考虑了洪灾的风险性,克服了期望值方法的缺陷。应用表明,该法适合于具有风险因素的防洪系统规模的决策问题。

关 键 词:流域规划  防洪系统  风险决策  费用函数

Planning of Basin Flood Control System Based on Risk Decision
Huang Zhizhong,Ju Maosen.Planning of Basin Flood Control System Based on Risk Decision[J].Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences ),1995,23(4):12-18.
Authors:Huang Zhizhong  Ju Maosen
Abstract:he deficiency of the conventional expect value method is analysed,and the parti-tioned multiobjective risk method is used to determine the optimal flood control scale.The optimization of economy and risk of flood are considered fully in this model. The deficiencies of the conventional expect value mothod and general eco-nomic method are overcomed in this method.Practical application illustrates that this method is suitable for such problems as flood control scale and optimal flood control frequency.
Keywords:Partitioned Multiobjective Risk Method(PMRM) multiobjective deci-sion making cost function random simulation flood control calculation  
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