EPC合同争端预警及案例分析

鉴于 EPC合同争端具有涉及的关系复杂、合同索赔数额较大、阻碍合同履行的后果严重等特点，为了预防、警告和跟踪争端，根据争端产生某些征兆性比较强的信息，综合运用推理理论、粗糙集理论、熵权法和欧氏距离检索法，构建定性与定量相集成的案例推理与规则推理融合（CCBR＋RBR）模型来预防和警告有可能发生的争端并进行实时跟踪。通过收集相关案例并建立案例库，应用CCBR＋RBR 模型进行分析EPC 合同可能产生争端的各种因素，并通过案例分析验证模型对EPC合同争端预警的实现。

EPC contract dispute alert and case analysis

When the EPC contract dispute occurs, complex relationship is usually involved, contract claim amount is large, and the consequence of hindering a contract is serious. Therefore, in order to prevent, warn and track disputes, based on some information with strong signs showing disputes, this study establishes a case based reasoning and rule based reasoning (CBR+RBR) model with qualitative and quantitative integration by synthetically using reasoning theory, rough set theory, the entropy method and Euclidean distance retrieval method to prevent and warn possible disputes and realize real-time tracking. By collecting related cases and establishing case databases, we use the CBR+RBR model to analyze various factors may cause EPC contract disputes, and through case analysis to validate that the model can warn EPC contract disputes.