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基于事故记录的船撞桥墩概率模型建立
引用本文:林铁良,王君杰,陈艾荣.基于事故记录的船撞桥墩概率模型建立[J].同济大学学报(自然科学版),2007,35(2):181-186.
作者姓名:林铁良  王君杰  陈艾荣
作者单位:1. 同济大学,桥梁工程系,上海,200092;福建省交通规划设计院,福建,福州,350004
2. 同济大学,桥梁工程系,上海,200092
摘    要:指出国内外既有船撞桥概率模型的不足之处.在事故记录基础上,根据不同性质航道特征和船舶行驶特点,分别提出狭窄河流、海峡/海湾和内河船撞桥墩概率模型,讨论了各参数取值的合理性,为设计人员认识船撞桥主要风险源和采取合理设计策略提供理论依据.

关 键 词:桥梁工程  船撞桥墩  事故记录  航道特征  概率模型
文章编号:0253-374X(2007)02-0181-06
修稿时间:2005-06-08

Construction of Probability Models About Ship Collision with Bridge Piers Based on Accident Records
LIN Tieliang,WANG Junjie,CHEN Airong.Construction of Probability Models About Ship Collision with Bridge Piers Based on Accident Records[J].Journal of Tongji University(Natural Science),2007,35(2):181-186.
Authors:LIN Tieliang  WANG Junjie  CHEN Airong
Institution:1. Department of Bridge Engineering,Tongji University, Shanghai 200092 ,China; 2. Fujian Provincial Communication Planning and Designing Insititute,Fuzhou 350004,China
Abstract:The present paper firstly points out the fault of the existing probability models about ship impact against bridges, and based on accident records, new probability models adapting to the characteristics of narrow waterway, strait/bay waterway and inland waterway are built. Also, the reasonability of parameter values is discussed. The research work can help bridge designers know well the main causes of risk and adopt reasonable designing strategies.
Keywords:bridge engineering  ship collision with piers  accident records  waterway characteristics  probability models
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