| 基于ARMA模型的海西州地区慢支发病情况研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 马亮亮,田富鹏.基于ARMA模型的海西州地区慢支发病情况研究[J].云南民族大学学报(自然科学版),2010,19(4):275-277. |
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| 作者姓名： | 马亮亮 田富鹏 |
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| 作者单位： | 西北民族大学,计算机科学与信息工程学院,甘肃,兰州,730030 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过EViews软件对青海海西州地区支气管炎发病例监测登记资料进行统计分析,同时进行时间序列模型拟合,观察疾病发展趋势,建立了时间序列模型,并对实际值与预测值进行比较.
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| 关 键 词： | 时间序列 ARMA模型 支气管炎 |
Study of Bronchitis Morbidity in Haixi Prefecture Based on ARMA Model |
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| MA Liang-liang,TIAN Fu-peng.Study of Bronchitis Morbidity in Haixi Prefecture Based on ARMA Model[J].Journal of Yunnan Nationalities University:Natural Sciences Edition,2010,19(4):275-277. |
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| Authors: | MA Liang-liang TIAN Fu-peng |
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| Institution: | MA Liang-liang,TIAN Fu-peng(School of Computer Science and Information Engineering,Northwest University for Nationalities,Lanzhou 730030,China) |
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| Abstract: | At present,the research of bronchitis morbidity based on the time series analysis is inadequate.Through the establishment of mathematical models for its study,timely prevention of bronchitis is hopeful.The research gives a statistical analysis of the bronchitis cases in Haixi Prefecture of Qinghai Province with the EViews software,and establishes a time series model based on a comparison between the predicted value and actual value. |
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| Keywords: | EViews |
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