区域环境-经济系统的动态仿真——以南水北调后的湖北省襄樊市为例

运用 BP网络 ,就南水北调工程对湖北省襄樊市生态环境和社会经济的影响进行了动态模拟 .对BP网络进行复杂系统建模的限制和适用条件 ,作者进一步进行了讨论并提出了解决方案 .

Dynamic Simulation of Regional Environment-economy System-a case study of Xiangfan,Hubei Province after the project of south-to-north water transfer project in China

Ecosystem and socio-economy,which are closely related with and interact with each other,make up a regional complex large system. Many underlying relationships between factors and mechanisms of processes are unknown or unclear in the system,and artificial neural networks provide a feasible method to model such incomprehensive and complex system. Applying an integrated BP network,we dynamically simulate the trend of ecosystem service value and GDP of Xiangfan,Hubei province,after the south-to-north water transfer project in China. At last,we discuss restricts and available conditions of BP in complex system modelling,and furthermore suggest some solutions to overcome them.