| 利用GCM Transient Run生成我国冬小麦主产区的气候渐变情景 |
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| 引用本文： | 江敏,金之庆,葛道阔.利用GCM Transient Run生成我国冬小麦主产区的气候渐变情景[J].徐州师范大学学报(自然科学版),1998(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 江敏 金之庆 葛道阔 |
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| 作者单位： | 徐州师范大学城市与环境学系，江苏省农业科学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文利用ＧＩＳＳＧＣＭＴｒａｎｓｉｅｎｔＲｕｎ模型生成了我国冬小麦主产区在公元２０１０年、２０３０年、２０５０年及达到ＣＯ２倍增的２０６２年的四种气候渐变情景，并模拟了我国在未来气候变化过程中气温及降水变幅的分布状况．初步分析了我国冬小麦生产可能受到的影响．
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| 关 键 词： | 气候变化，情景，冬小麦 |
Climate Change Transient Scenarios in the Main Winter Wheat Producing Regions in China Generated by GCM Transient Run |
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| Jiang Min ,Jin Zhiqing ,Ge Daokuo.Climate Change Transient Scenarios in the Main Winter Wheat Producing Regions in China Generated by GCM Transient Run[J].Journal of Xuzhou Normal University(Natural Science Edition),1998(3). |
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| Authors: | Jiang Min Jin Zhiqing Ge Daokuo |
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| Institution: | Jiang Min 1,Jin Zhiqing 2,Ge Daokuo 2 |
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| Abstract: | This paper concerns 4 scenarios of gradual climate change (i.e.,2010,2030,2050 and 2062 A.D.)in the main winter wheat producing regions in China using GISS GCM Transient Run.Also,the varying distributions of annual temperature and precipitation with changing climate in China were simulated.Furtherly,analysis was carried out of the impacts on winter wheat production in this country. |
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| Keywords: | climate change scenario winter wheat |
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