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边坡防灾工程风险决策分析
引用本文:李东升,刘东燕.边坡防灾工程风险决策分析[J].重庆大学学报(自然科学版),2005,28(12):104-107.
作者姓名:李东升  刘东燕
作者单位:重庆大学,土木工程学院,重庆,400030;重庆大学,土木工程学院,重庆,400030
基金项目:重庆市国土资源和房屋管理局资助项目
摘    要:结合边坡防灾工程投资效益的特点和性质,本着安全与经济相平衡的原则,对防灾工程初期投资及各种方案的预期灾害损失后果进行分析,以损失最小为决策准则,采用决策树模型进行边坡防灾工程的风险决策.研究表明,采用考虑社会贴现率的动态计算分析投入产出比能更为精确地反映工程投资效益,并分析了防灾工程效益计算中出现的一些问题.

关 键 词:防灾工程  风险决策  决策树
文章编号:1000-582X(2005)12-0104-04
收稿时间:2005-07-05
修稿时间:2005年7月5日

Risk Decision-making Method of Slope Resistant Engineering
LI Dong-sheng,LIU Dong-yan.Risk Decision-making Method of Slope Resistant Engineering[J].Journal of Chongqing University(Natural Science Edition),2005,28(12):104-107.
Authors:LI Dong-sheng  LIU Dong-yan
Institution:College of Civil Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400030, China
Abstract:Considering the character of slope resistant engineering invest benefit, in line with security and economy balmaced, combining initial investment and anticipated hazard loss, disaster resistant engineering should be satisfied with the criterion of minimum cost. Decision tree model is adopted as analyzing means, and risk decision-making of slope design is carried out. Project input-output radio adopting dynamic analysis can reflect project investment benefit more accurately. At last this paper analyzes some questions in process of slope resistant engineering with benefits enumerate.
Keywords:resistant engineering  risk decision-making method  decision tree model
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