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An Improved Model of Attack Probability Prediction System
作者姓名:WANG  Hui  LIU  Shufen  ZHANG  Xinjia
作者单位:[1]College of Compuler Science and Technology, Jilin University, Changchun 130012, Jilin, China [2]College of Compuler Science and Technology, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454001, Henan, China
基金项目:Supported by the National Key Technologies Research and Development Program of China (2004BA907A20)
摘    要:This paper presents a novel probability generation algorithm to predict attacks from an insider who exploits known system vulnerabilities through executing authorized operations. It is different from most intrusion detection systems (IDSs) because these IDSs are inefficient to resolve threat from authorized insiders. To deter cracker activities, this paper introduces an improved structure of augmented attack tree and a notion of "minimal attack tree", and proposes a new generation algorithm of minimal attack tree. We can provide a quantitative approach to help system administrators make sound decision.

关 键 词:原子突击  攻击剧情  攻击树  计算机  信息安全
文章编号:1007-1202(2006)06-1498-05
收稿时间:2006-04-20

An improved model of attack probability prediction system
WANG Hui LIU Shufen ZHANG Xinjia.An Improved Model of Attack Probability Prediction System[J].Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences,2006,11(6):1498-1502.
Authors:Wang Hui  Liu Shufen  Zhang Xinjia
Institution:(1) College of Computer Science and Technology, Jilin University, 130012 Changchun, Jilin, China;(2) College of Computer Science and Technology, Henan Polytechnic University, 454001 Jiaozuo, Henan, China
Abstract:This paper presents a novel probability generation algorithm to predict attacks from an insider who exploits known system vulnerabilities through executing authorized operations. It is different from most intrusion detection systems (IDSs) because these IDSs are inefficient to resolve threat from authorized insiders. To deter cracker activities, this paper introduces an improved structure of augmented attack tree and a notion of “minimal attack tree”, and proposes a new generation algorithm of minimal attack tree. We can provide a quantitative approach to help system administrators make sound decision. Foundation item: Supported by the National Key Technologies Research and Development Program of China (2004BA907A20) Biography: WANG Hui(1975-), male, Ph. D. candidate, Lecturer of Henan Polytechnic University, research direction: network security.
Keywords:atomic attack  attack scenario  attack tree
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