| 通勤出发时间和驻停次数联合选择模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 高晶鑫,隽志才,李津,董英荣. 通勤出发时间和驻停次数联合选择模型[J]. 系统管理学报, 2012, 21(3): 366-370 |
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| 作者姓名： | 高晶鑫 隽志才 李津 董英荣 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院,上海,200052
2. 吉林大学交通学院,长春,130025 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了对通勤出发时间和驻停次数进行联合建模的必要性,基于离散选择的理论方法,建立了通勤者通勤出发时间和通勤途中驻停次数的联合选择模型。并以居民出行调查数据为基础,进行了模型标定,分析了影响因素对通勤出发时间和通勤驻停数的影响。分析了出发时间和驻停数的关系,结论是出发时间与驻停数呈负相关关系,与实际的统计结果相吻合。
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| 关 键 词： | 交通工程 离散选择 出发时间 驻停次数 联合模型 |
Commuters' joint Choice model of Departure Time and Number of Non-Work Stops |
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| GAO Jing-xin , JUAN Zhi-cai , LI Jin , DONG Ying-rong. Commuters' joint Choice model of Departure Time and Number of Non-Work Stops[J]. Systems Engineering Theory·Methodology·Applications, 2012, 21(3): 366-370 |
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| Authors: | GAO Jing-xin JUAN Zhi-cai LI Jin DONG Ying-rong |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Antai College of Economics and Management,Shanghai Jiaotong University,Shanghai 200052,China; 2.College of Transportation,Jilin University,Changchun 130022,China) |
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| Abstract: | The necessity of modeling both departure-time and number of non-work stops is discussed.Based on discrete choice theory,we develop a joint model of commuting start time choice and number of stops made during commuting time.Negative correlation between commuting start time choice and number of stops is discovered.The results are consistent to related statistics. |
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| Keywords: | traffic engineering discrete choice departure time number of stops joint model |
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